Welcome to the weather blog - a regular Monday through Friday discussion of the weather! You'll find a quick weather synopsis and a general non-technical weather summary below, and when available (most days) a detailed technical meteorological discussion will follow. If no technical discussion is available when you check in during the morning, check back later as it often comes after the Weather Summary - I try to indicate at the end of the general weather summary when/if a technical discussion is coming. My email is contact@mattnoyes.net. While the discussions usually will only come on days I'm working, I'll occasionally issue special updates when the weather warrants. This blog is for you, so I hope you enjoy it! -Matt Noyes
For latest radar imagery, to check for watches and warnings, and for links to sites in the world of weather, feel free to click over to my website: www.mattnoyes.net
Matt's Quick Weather Synopsis (New!): Plenty of cold air has been left in the wake of Sunday's storm, and with an active west wind, our workweek certainly begins on a chilly note! Abundant sunshine for the first half of the day will give way to increasing cloud cover Monday afternoon for one and all with a few flurries possible, but especially in the mountains of Northern and Western New England where snow showers will develop Monday afternoon and persist through Monday night with a couple of fresh inches of snow in the Northern Green Mountains and the higher terrain of the Whites. Elsewhere, mostly cloudy skies Monday night will give way to breaking sunshine Tuesday, with active southwest breezes transporting milder air into New England. By Wednesday, we'll be downright mild under mostly sunny skies. By the end of the week, a strong disturbance approaching New England will produce a swath of rain or snow (most likely snow) across Northern New England later Thursday, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms with windy conditions for all on Friday. The passage of a cold front Friday afternoon, however, will bring much colder air - another arctic blast - for next weekend. -Matt
Weather Summary coming later this morning.
General Weather Summary: With Southern New England's blizzard departing, a shot of modified arctic air has poured into New England. While this dry and cold air has allowed for plenty of Monday Morning sunshine, a series of weak upper level disturbances racing east out of the Great Lakes will bring building clouds - first to the mountains and evenually to most of New England - by the end of the day. Some of these clouds will grow large and heavy enough for snow showers to fall, especially in the mountains of Northern and Western New England, though flurries are a possibility for one and all. With an active wind from the west, wind chill values will bring "feels like" temperatures about 8-10 degrees colder than the thermometer will actually be reading.
With a continued stream of weak upper level disturbances racing overhead Monday night, snow showers will continue in the higher terrain of the Green and White Mountains, with around an inch expected, though amounts of 3" will be found in the summits of the Northern Greens. Elsewhere, expect plenty of clouds and perhaps a few flurries, with light surface winds gradually shifting to a southwest direction.
Southwest winds will increase in intensity on Tuesday - a sure sign that milder air is poised to move into New England. Any lingering morning cloud cover should quickly give way to a cool blend of sun and clouds for most of the day Tuesday, with dry air moving in through most of the atmosphere and a few high altitude cirrus clouds moving overhead late in the day.
The remainder of the week will feature an important shift in the weather pattern that will be temporary, but will have a large effect on this week's weather. The expected shift comes in the jet stream winds aloft - the fast river of air high in the sky that steers our storms and acts as a thermostat for the atmosphere, separating cold air to the north of the jet stream from warmer air to the south. This corridor of fast wind flows in a wave-pattern across the globe, with ridges (bumps) and troughs (dips). The Eastern U.S. has been in a trough of late, which means New England has fallen on the cold side of this thermostat - and we've felt the results! Later this week, the jet stream winds that have been flowing south of us for the past couple of weeks will shift northward and eventually rise directly over New England. This means New England shifts from squarely on the cold side of the jet stream, to the milder side of life, and we'll feel the results by Wednesday. With very few strong disturbances for the jet stream to steer our way, the weather will be fairly tranquil for midweek.
Thursday, a stronger storm system will begin taking shape along the clash between cold and warm air, set up through the Central Rockies and Midwestern U.S. Ahead of this storm, a reinforcing shot of warmth and moisture will stream northward, at the same time cold air oozes southward from Eastern Canada. The result will be precipitation developing across Northern New England Thursday evening into Thursday night, and if enough cold air is place, accumulating snow would be possible and the North Country could make up for lost ground from this weekend's storm miss across the North. By Friday, the approaching storm center will bring periods of rain for all of New England, along with gusty winds and one last mild day before a cold front sweeps through, ushering in arctic air for next weekend.
Have a great day!
Technical Discussion: None today as I try to catch up from the hundreds of emails from Sunday.
Matt
