Welcome to the weather blog - a regular Monday through Friday discussion of the weather! While the discussions usually will only come on days I'm working, I'll issue special updates when the weather warrants. I will always post to let you know when no discussion is expected if I'm away on vacation, etc. - if no update is here and no info is available, that likely means the server has temporarily gone on the fritz and I will update as soon as technically possible. You'll find a quick weather synopsis linked to the daily forecast at the top of the page, a general non-technical weather summary below, and when available (most days) a detailed technical meteorological discussion will follow by mid-afternoon. My email is contact@mattnoyes.net. This blog is for you, so I hope you enjoy it! -Matt Noyes
General Weather Summary:
Mild spring air is winning the battle of airmasses in New England, with dry air aloft helping to shrivel clouds for much of the six-state region. Plenty of clouds began the day, and a deck of clouds lingers in some of Eastern and especially Southeastern New England where ocean modified air is hampering progress of milder air, and an extended battle of airmasses is resulting in plenty of clouds and fog. Where the sun comes out, winds are mixing down in altitude with gusts to 35 mph from the southwest, further promoting breaks in the overcast. Where the sun does break through, temperatures will continue to warm into the 60s.
Meanwhile, the disturbance that pushed into the West Coast midweek will have broken into two pieces, with one chunk of significant energy diving south across the Southwestern United States - dipping so far south it separates from the storm-steering winds of the jet stream for a time - and the northern chunk of energy racing east across the Northern Tier of the nation, steered by those fast moving jet stream winds. At the surface, this disturbance is driving a cold front east, with a line of downpours and thunder ahead of it that will survive the trip into New England, entering northern Vermont Thursday afternoon, the remainder of Western New England Thursday evening, then expanding southeast through the evening by 9 or 10 PM, and wrapping up before sunrise Friday. Cool air will stream in on a west wind behind this front, and that means we may see some freezing to black ice on wet roadways of especially northern and western New England for the morning drive on Friday.
The air settling in behind the front will be cool, but not cold, and will still produce high temperatures above normal with a pleasant blend of sun and clouds as the cold front settles south of New England, stalling over New Jersey where it will serve as a pathway for a weak wave of low pressure that will bring rain showers south of New England, but should scrape by without grazing us on its pass out to sea. The same front, however, will remain stalled south of New England into the start of the weekend and will serve as the pathway for yet another disturbance to travel upon later Saturday into Saturday night. Ahead of this disturbance, a northeast wind will blow air from Eastern Canadian high pressure into the weak low, keeping New England cool beneath early sun and increasing clouds, yielding showers of rain and snow later Saturday that will probably transition to a light snow Saturday night. Though some light snow is likely to linger into early Sunday, the system should be fast moving, allowing for sunshine to emerge and temperatures will rebound with the help of the sun, coming up to near or perhaps even above normal values on Sunday.
Thereafter, the last week of March looks as though it will end on a mild note, as a broad ridge of high pressure crests over the Eastern half of the nation, bringing moderating temperatures that will land above normal to finish the month.
Make it a great Thursday.
Technical Discussion: This week has been a bear...none today.
Matt
