Welcome to the weather blog - a regular Monday through Friday discussion of the weather! While the discussions usually will only come on days I'm working, I'll issue special updates when the weather warrants. I will always post to let you know when no discussion is expected if I'm away on vacation, etc. - if no update is here and no info is available, that likely means the server has temporarily gone on the fritz and I will update as soon as technically possible. You'll find a quick weather synopsis linked to the daily forecast at the top of the page, a general non-technical weather summary below, and when available (most days) a detailed technical meteorological discussion will follow by mid-afternoon. My email is contact@mattnoyes.net. This blog is for you, so I hope you enjoy it! -Matt Noyes
General Weather Summary:
Note: This discussion (Thursday) will be the discussion to carry us through the weekend. Yours truly will have a bit or R&R on a relatively quiet extended weekend! The regular forecast at the top of the page, however, will be updated as usual on Friday.
The atmosphere will be in a state of flux Thursday as cooler and more comfortable air moves south out of Canada, overturning the warmth and humidity that have ruled the midweek. By the time the transition is completed, New England will be left with a wonderfully pleasant weekend.
In the meantime, morning haze along with patches of low altitude clouds and fog continue to represent how moisture laden our summer airmass has been. Early thunderstorms rolled across parts of Northern New England in advance of an approaching cold front, and as the front settles south, thunderstorms will develop farther south, as well. In advance of the cold front, deep summer warmth is still in place and even limited sunshine between lots of clouds will be able to boost Central and Southern New England temperatures into the 80s. Farther north, the passage of showers and thunder is marked by a wind shift that begins the influx of cooler air, and temperatures are likely to hang in the 70s Thursday afternoon. Where warmth and high humidity are still in place, however, both factors will contribute to thunderstorm and shower development along and ahead of the cold front, with scattered activity gaining some momentum late Thursday morning, and becoming stronger as heating increases Thursday afternoon, with some storms growing strong enough to produce damaging winds. Most storms, whether severe or not, will contain heavy rain and frequent lightning. Not everyone will see these storms, however, because while they will be numerous, there will be at least a sliver of Central New England where the front moves through before thunderstorms start refiring Thursday afternoon.
It will take through Thursday evening and into Thursday night before the storms move through Southern New England and the front shifts south of the coastline, but much drier, much more comfortable air will be spreading across New England Thursday night, bringing partly cloudy and then mostly clear skies to Northern New England where low temperatures will dip into the 40s, with showers ending and skies gradually clearing with lows closer to 60 farther south. Dewpoint temperatures - the measure of the amount of moisture in the air - will be dropping through the night, however, ensuring a comfortable night for Northern and Central New England, and a night of improving comfort farther south. This comfortable, dry airmass will be in place Friday, delivering a gorgeous, pleasant, comfortable end to the work week. And the great weather won't stop there! Saturday and Sunday look fantastic, as well, though with much cooler air moving in both at the surface and high in the sky, healthy white puffy cumulus clouds may grow tall enough to drop a few light showers, especially in Northern New England, Saturday afternoon. The great weather should roll into the beginning of next week, as well, with milder air pushing temperatures back into the lower 80s, on average, by the July Fourth holiday, with numerous thunderstorms possible as a series of disturbances move through fast jet stream flow aloft.
Thereafter, we have exhausted our chance of much above normal temperatures, at least for now. Instead, I would expect temperatures to run below normal for the first 10 days of July, with occasional bouts of severe weather as strong jet stream disturbances continuously reinforce cool air over New England.
Enjoy a wonderful weekend!
Matt
