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8 to 14 Day Forecast: Mild pattern continues May 7 to 13 in New England, rain showers likely to return

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After a remarkably dry stretch, I'm expecting showers to return to the forecast in this forecast pattern, more typical of spring in New England.  Having said that, confidence is somewhat low that the forecast of near normal precipitation will verify, as it hinges upon a more significant precipitation producer developing late in the period.  The forecast period begins with a decaying omega block, giving way to a somewhat more progressive pattern, though height falls (atmospheric cooling) will be slow to occur at the start of the period, and may limit total precipitation, even as some rain showers return to the forecast.  Late in the period, the baroclinic zone located west of New England for several days may migrate into the region, focusing at least one wave of low pressure to develop along it.

As for temperature, slow height falls means slow cooling as New England remains on the "warm side" of the jet stream, and - especially given mild air in the first half of the forecast period - I expect above normal temperatures to rule.