A quick discussion this Monday afternoon.
This storm was everything it could have been and more in Maine where I can honestly say this was my first time - with the possible exception of a lake effect band when I was working in Syracuse, New York, that I've had the pleasure of reporting 5" of snow per hour to my viewers. And, of course, it was those very same viewers who reported it to me, with four inch per hour amounts coming out of Penacook and Gilmanton, New Hampshire, to start, then intensifying as thundersnow increased across Southern interior Maine. Even as of this writing, amounts of 2-4" per hour continue. A truly amazing event. Elsewhere, I overforecasted amounts for Worcester by a few inches, largely because I was anticipating a fluffier snow on the cold side of the coastal front, and while it was certainly fluffier than the heavy, wet slop east of the front, it was dense enough to compact and closer to a foot was more accurate. The remainder of the area seems to have verified OK.
Now the coastal pulls northeast while the slow moving low over the Great Lakes sends a weakening occluded front east that will try to become a Norlun inverted trough from Upstate New York to New York City tonight into Tuesday, then drift north into Southwestern New England on Tuesday. It won't really achieve a respectable status, largely because of lacking instability, but will still generate some snow showers in these areas. The remainder of New England finds mostly cloudy skies but icing of road moisture overnight Monday night, then a cool day on Tuesday but mild enough to melt pavement where snow has been scraped away.
Expect a dome of high pressure to provide quiet weather Wednesday and most of Thursday before another storm runs the coastline. This next storm will develop OVER the Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday, which is very impressive for this time of the year, and what's more impressive is the expectation for the storm to then emerge off the Southeast U.S. coast and run the coastline all the way to New England. It's bound to have a TON of moisture and warmth with it, but to the west of the storm will be an arctic blast waiting to stream in, so there'll be a tight rain/snow line that will depend upon storm track, which I would conjecture will either be near Cape Cod or southeast of the Cape, which will put the rain/snow line somewhere over the interior, with the best chance of whopping snow the farther north and west one is. An arctic blast follows.
That's all for today - a busy day for sure.
Matt
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