Cold air relaxes Friday, Showery spring pattern sets up thereafter

LKS_FRONTS_BOSDMA - 2024-02-29T081045.471Wind has dipped below damaging levels but continues to be blustery Thursday with wind chill values never rising out of the 20s at even the warmest time of the day, while actual high temperatures hover around 30 degrees.  Sunshine fading behind building clouds that yield scattered snow showers with little impact will be ineffective in warming the air before the sun sets, snow showers diminish, and the wind quiets a bit for the overnight into Friday morning.  Friday sunshine will dawn with a gentle wind, but by afternoon a new, southwest breeze will start carrying milder air into New England to bump daytime highs well into the 40s.  Although the air will still be dry enough to hold off any precipitation into Saturday morning, clouds will thicken Friday night and a mostly cloudy stretch unfolds for days on end, with Saturday morning’s dry start giving way to scattered rain showers arriving by late morning to midday in Southern New England and expanding north during the afternoon.  Showers will morph into an area of more consolidated rain Saturday afternoon, evening and night as a storm center develops south of New England, with its counterclockwise flow of air around the center bringing a northeast wind to much of New England by Sunday into Monday.  Of course, a northeast wind is off the ocean and this time of year the ocean is only around 40 degrees, so an onshore wind means cooler temperatures than might otherwise be expected from the airmass.  That said, it’s a mild airmass!  So, rather than all of us jumping into the 50s Sunday and Monday, we’ll likely land in the upper 40s or around 50 – warmer than normal for this time of the year.  In fact, when showers break and clouds may part enough for a few splashes of sun Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, while the northeast wind relaxes, temperatures may rise well into the 50s before another round of rain arrives for the end of next week.  As of right now, our exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast holds hope of moving the rain along by next weekend.

Near-record warmth, wind and rain for the midweek in New England

LKS_NBCU_PRECIP_ACCUM_NEWENG (45)Temperatures more typical of middle April are unfolding across New England over the next couple of days, and this means highs in the 55 to 60 degree range for many, which will push records for warm daytime highs and nighttime lows, particularly in Central and Northern New England.  This warmth comes ahead of a storm center in the natiion’s midsection, which will strengthen further as it pulls northeast into Southern Canada, with the counter-clockwise flow of air around its center increasing a southerly wind across the Eastern Seaboard.  The wind will increase noticeably in New England Tuesday afternoon to evening, and gust over 40 mph on Cape Cod Tuesday night, while rain arrives during the late evening and continues periodically through Wednesday into Wednesday night.  Total rain amounts in New England will be either side of an inch, though some of CT, RI and Southeast MA likely will come closer to two inches.  With both commutes impacted Wednesday – morning and evening – our weather team continues a First Alert all day Wednesday and those on the roads should leave extra time for travel.  Meanwhile, the south-southwest wind increasing Tuesday night will continue to ramp up gradually Wednesday, with gusts in excess of 40 mph for many, then a peak Wednesday evening to night of gusts exceeding 50 mph for some, meaning isolated power outages Tuesday night and Wednesday may become more widely scattered Wednesday evening.  A powerful cold front Wednesday night changes the last raindrops to snow showers with a coating to two inches in the northern mountains and little accumulation elsewhere, but delivers a pronounced drop in temperature by some 20 degrees or more Wednesday night, which should result in icy spots developing as leftover moisture freezes.  Blustery conditions Thursday are anticipated with a new, west-northwest wind gusting to 45 mph and high temperatures in the 30s feeling like the 20s when considering the wind chill as flurries fall from time to time.  Cool and bright weather is expected Friday, before an extended stretch of mild but unsettled weather with rain showers along the way, again, somewhat similar to an April pattern.