For many, this is a much-needed weekend for rest and recuperation after an unsettling and stressful week. For others, the days continue to blend together from one to the next. Either way, this weekend offers weather that will cater to those who want to be outside in fresh air, and those who need an excuse from nature to lay low inside and rest – Saturday and Sunday each offering that juxtaposed weather. Coming off early showers Friday morning, drier air taking over from mid-morning onward brings clearing and the opportunity for sun to boost temperatures to near 60 by afternoon with the pollen count rising and remaining high into Saturday as dry weather continues through a cool Friday night and through a Saturday that starts with sun and ends with clouds. Saturday afternoon’s clouds come well ahead of a strengthening storm center pulling from the Central United States across the Great Lakes, dragging warmth and moisture ahead of it, with that air colliding with the cool and dry air already in place here in New England. Late Saturday evening rain showers will arrive to southwest New England first, then slowly expand northeast, arriving for many of us overnight Saturday night but not arriving to Northern New England until Sunday. A southeast wind strengthening off the ocean will ensure warm enough air for rain – not snow – in most of New England, but Northern New England should see snow snow and sleet to start when precipitation arrives Sunday morning to midday, accumulating one to three inches from the Northeast Kingdom of VT into the White Mountains of NH, and two to four inches from the Whites through the deep interior of ME – and even a bit more than that in Northern ME. Regardless, most New Englanders will find raw air Sunday for a day that encourages indoor activities. A few showers will still be around Monday, particularly in the morning, with snow showers in the North Country and gradual drying making a more appreciable difference later in the day and through Tuesday. After midweek, the chance of showers builds again toward week’s end, but the early call on next weekend – now fully in view in our exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast – is for good weather.
A cool start was made chillier by the steady but light breeze blowing from the north, holding morning wind chill values in the 20s for most of New England. As a dome of high pressure, or fair weather, builds over New England Thursday, the wind will go quiet for most, with a gentle sea breeze developing to hold afternoon temperatures beneath sunshine in the 40s for coastal communities while the interior sneaks above 50 degrees. A quick-moving disturbance chugging east out of the Great Lakes will arrive to New England overnight Thursday night with scattered sprinkles and light showers after midnight into early Friday morning for Central and Southern New England, while Northern New England sees snow showers with little impact, except one to two inches of accumulation are expected in the Crown of Maine. After lingering showers, sprinkles and clouds Friday early morning, the sun will return and Friday afternoon looks delightful – a bright sky and temperatures well into the 50s, pushing 60 in spots! Enjoyable spring weather will stick around through the first half of the weekend, with Saturday unquestionably the pick of the weekend with high temperatures in the 50s to near 60 and sunshine giving way to increasing afternoon and evening clouds. The late Saturday clouds come in advance of the next storm center, strengthening well west of New England as it crosses the Great Lakes into Canada, but likely spawning a new, coastal wave of low pressure along the Southern New England coast Sunday that will both focus heavier rainfall and keep a gusty, raw wind blowing off the ocean for what will be an indoor day for the vast majority of coronavirus social distancing New Englanders…with Northern New England snow expected instead, generally accumulating one to three inches from the Northeast Kingdom of VT to the Lakes and Mountains of NH to interior ME. Improvement is expected Monday even though some showers may start the day, as a northwest wind kicks in behind our departing storm. It won’t be long before another storm strengthens out of the Central United States and treks east, this time passing south of New England but likely passing close enough and growing large enough to deliver some showers around Wednesday and Thursday of next week with cool, classic New England spring air holding firm in the exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast.
Nature is giving cues that spring is efforting a comeback from our early week shot of snow - after a couple of quiet mornings, the peepers have started to sing again and the ducks and birds were much more vocal at sunrise Wednesday morning. Even with these signs of spring abound, Wednesday feels more like a late winter day with the abundance of clouds suffocating any morning peeks of sun, largely the product of an onshore wind. The combination of clouds and an easterly wind flow will hold temperatures in the 40s Wednesday with ambient or “feels like” temperatures in the upper 30s at the warmest time of day, with a few sprinkles from time to time during the afternoon. To our south, a storm center mostly misses, strengthening as it makes its closest pass, growing into a sizable storm too little too late for significant impact to New England, though a period of showers is possible Wednesday evening on the Cape and Islands. Drier air affords sunshine Thursday with temperatures either side of 50 degrees and a light wind, meaning the day will be a noticeable improvement over Wednesday. Another quick-moving system Friday will deliver renewed clouds and the chance of a few sprinkles and showers, but departs in time for a pleasant Saturday. One trend in the forecast has been to slow the arrival of rain Saturday, so while clouds will increase during the afternoon, rain should hold off until overnight Saturday night, falling squarely on Sunday and likely to last most of the day. All of next week is showing up in our exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast and looks to do away - at least for now - with the volatile temperature swings of the last few weeks, stabilizing in the 50s and perhaps some 60s, with the greatest chance of showers around midweek.
Many New Englanders woke up to fresh spring snow Tuesday morning, with two to four inches generally falling north and west of Boston, but as much as just over half a foot of heavy, wet snow in higher terrain of Central MA into Southern NH. As is typical of spring snow, melting will come fast on the heels of a snow-covered morning, with breaks of sun bumping Tuesday afternoon temperatures to around and over 50 degrees, taking a perfect snowball and snowman consistency and turning it quickly to wet mush and, by day’s end, lots of puddles with lingering slop. Sun glare and road spray will make sunglasses and windshield washer fluid helpful accessories Tuesday midday and afternoon, while winter shoes will protect against wet feet with so much melting. Some re-freezing is likely overnight Tuesday night north and west of Boston into much of Central New England, and though many main thoroughfares will have dried enough during the day to prevent widespread black ice, some icy patches are likely. A storm center passing to the south of New England Wednesday mostly misses, though a shower may crop up during the afternoon and some rain may graze the South Coast including Cape Cod Wednesday evening and night into Thursday morning. Thereafter, sun re-emerges for New England Thursday, and another nearby storm system Friday is likely to miss to the south, meaning variable clouds but little in the way of precipitation. It’s been a string of great weekends for New England - at least with dry and bright weather, even if cool at times - and that string may come to an end this weekend with showers expected to arrive sometime later Saturday and last through Sunday, though temperatures stabilize with daytime highs generally in the 50s in our exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast.
Clouds will stay with New England through the day Monday, coupling with a cold start in the 20s to keep temperatures from rising much beyond 40 degrees. This means when precipitation moves in during the afternoon from west to east - for many of us between 3 PM and 5 PM - we’ll see not only rain but also snow breaking out. With a southeast wind blowing in from ocean water in the lower 40s, it’s unlikely coastal locales will see much accumulation, and even spots within about 15 miles of the coast will have difficulty accumulating much more than a coating to an inch. Farther inland, however, one to two inches of snow will accumulate in the suburbs north and west of Boston and through South-Central MA into Northern CT & the Pioneer Valley of MA. Farther north, from Central and Western MA all the way into Central VT and NH and Southern ME three to five and even as much as five to eight inches of snow are expected, meaning road crews will be treating and scraping late this evening into the overnight, with rain and snow showers winding down around dawn Tuesday and giving way to some sunshine with highs in the 50s for melting to begin quickly. Another disturbance brings a chance of rain or mixed rain and snow showers Wednesday, with the balance of the exclusive First Alert 10-day forecast showing high temperatures mostly in the 50s, and several chances for showers along the way including, for a change in our recent weather pattern, on the weekend.