Why Was the Snow Forecast for Tuesday's Storm So Different From Reality, Even Just Over 24 Hours Out?
Cold Air Set to Ease By Week's End, Next Week May Resemble Early April

Blustery Conditions Wednesday Set the Stage for a Quick Round of Lightly Accumulating Snow Thursday Evening and Night

LKS_SNOW_RANGE_NEWENG_ACTIVE - 2024-02-14T083925.772As Tuesday’s storm departs though the Canadian Maritimes after dropping a rare nine inches of snow at Chilmark, on Martha’s Vineyard, the broad and far-reaching counter-clockwise flow of air around the storm has ushered a feisty northwest wind into New England, transporting a fresh shot of chilly, dry air from Canada.  The upside to this air is the dry nature of it – affording plenty of sunshine.  The downside is that sunshine will be equalized by wind chill values in the teens at the warmest time of Wednesday, owing to a steady northwest wind at 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph at times.  Of course, snow and ice doesn’t respond to wind chill, so actual high temperatures around the melting point will mean some melting of roadsides and walkways, so sunglasses and windshield washer fluid will help reduce the glare before a few slick spots redevelop in a re-freeze Wednesday night as lows drop to around 20 with wind chill values in the single digits.  Thursday dawns with cold sunshine, but clouds will increase as the wind subsides during the day, ahead of a fast-moving disturbance cutting from west to east and entering New England with snow Thursday evening, developing from 6pm to 11pm, west to east, and continuing in most spots for about 5 of 6 hours, dropping one to two inches for many, two to four in the mountains and less in far Southern New England, where the South Coast may mix with raindrops.  Even a little natural snow will be a great boost for ski areas to assist with nearly non-stop snowmaking in favorable weather conditions for snow guns to blast both day and night all the way into the holiday weekend and February vacation week for many.  In fact, after another blustery but dry day Friday, Saturday brings one more disturbance that should spread at least scattered snow showers across New England, with Sunday brighter for most but still featuring some mountain snow showers at times.  Daytime temperatures will hover in the 30s for most through the holiday weekend, with Presidents’ Day bringing sunshine and seasonable air.  February vacation week (at least for most in MA, ME, CT, and RI) starts with a continuation of classic February air and quiet weather to enjoy outdoor recreation, though the weather may turn more unsettled with an increased chance of rain or snow by the end of the week.

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